Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004200 0.004419 0.004644 0.004892 0.005159 0.005438 0.005753
2025-08-31 0.003797 0.004118 0.004462 0.004859 0.005307 0.005799 0.006382
2025-09-07 0.003520 0.003894 0.004305 0.004795 0.005365 0.006013 0.006811
2025-09-14 0.003303 0.003710 0.004168 0.004726 0.005394 0.006174 0.007164
2025-09-21 0.003167 0.003606 0.004108 0.004734 0.005499 0.006417 0.007618
2025-09-28 0.002968 0.003413 0.003931 0.004586 0.005403 0.006402 0.007740
2025-10-05 0.002867 0.003331 0.003879 0.004583 0.005477 0.006595 0.008130
2025-10-12 0.002817 0.003306 0.003892 0.004658 0.005651 0.006918 0.008704
2025-10-19 0.002719 0.003218 0.003822 0.004623 0.005676 0.007047 0.009019
2025-10-26 0.002635 0.003142 0.003763 0.004597 0.005710 0.007184 0.009350
2025-11-02 0.002554 0.003066 0.003701 0.004563 0.005731 0.007301 0.009655
2025-11-09 0.002525 0.003056 0.003721 0.004636 0.005895 0.007622 0.010271
2025-11-16 0.002458 0.002994 0.003673 0.004618 0.005935 0.007771 0.010647
2025-11-23 0.002390 0.002929 0.003618 0.004586 0.005955 0.007892 0.010985
2025-11-30 0.002315 0.002853 0.003545 0.004527 0.005931 0.007945 0.011220
2025-12-07 0.002243 0.002778 0.003471 0.004464 0.005898 0.007982 0.011428
2025-12-14 0.002202 0.002742 0.003449 0.004471 0.005965 0.008171 0.011891
2025-12-21 0.002110 0.002637 0.003328 0.004334 0.005817 0.008023 0.011787
2025-12-28 0.002071 0.002601 0.003302 0.004331 0.005865 0.008180 0.012203
2026-01-04 0.002060 0.002602 0.003326 0.004401 0.006025 0.008518 0.012951
2026-01-11 0.002014 0.002554 0.003281 0.004368 0.006026 0.008603 0.013260
2026-01-18 0.001973 0.002513 0.003243 0.004344 0.006039 0.008707 0.013608
2026-01-25 0.001931 0.002469 0.003202 0.004313 0.006040 0.008790 0.013922